Posted by: Grant | August 21, 2011

Catchup 5 – Old Posts From Bigblog Site

More Science On Clouds.

Thursday 19 May, 2011 – 05:12 by Grant in Default

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Greenies try to ignore this science and hope it will go away and leave them alone.

Fact is, it is becoming more and more obvious that “The Globe” is cooling not warming due to decreased cosmic ray and solar activity – NOT the trivial biological trace gas carbon dioxide.
Fact is, that “The Globe” is very stable and self regulating in its temperature. Magor and minor pertubations in Global temperature are quickly, automatically, smoothed out.

AARHUS UNIVERSITY
Scientists at Aarhus University (AU) and the National Space Institute (DTU Space) show that particles from space create cloud cover
16.05.11
http://science.au.dk/en/news-and-events/news-article/artikel/forskere-fra-au-og-dtu-viser-at-partikler-fra-rummet-skaber-skydaekke/

” …The more cloud cover occurring around the world, the lower the global temperature – and vice versa when there are fewer clouds. The number of particles from space vary from year to year – partly controlled by solar activity. An understanding of the impact of cosmic particles – consisting of electrons, protons and other charged particles – on cloud formation and thereby the number of clouds, is therefore very important as regards climate models.

With the researchers’ new knowledge, it is now clear that here is a correlation between the Sun’s varying activity and the formation of aerosols in the Earth’s atmosphere. Initially, the researchers have demonstrated that there is a correlation, and they will therefore now carry out systematic measurements and modellings to determine how important it is to the climate. The new studies will be made at DTU Space in Copenhagen, with support that includes a new grant of DKK 2 million (approximately EUR 270,000) from the Danish National Research Councils…. ”

Also here…

PHYSICS WORLD
Evidence that cosmic rays seed clouds
Edwin Cartlidge
May 13, 2011
http://physicsworld.com/cws/article/news/45982

The actual paper here…

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 38, L09805, 4 PP., 2011
doi:10.1029/2011GL047036
Aerosol nucleation induced by a high energy particle beam
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2011GL047036.shtml

“We have studied sulfuric acid aerosol nucleation in an atmospheric pressure reaction chamber using a 580 MeV electron beam to ionize the volume of the reaction chamber. We find a clear contribution from ion-induced nucleation and consider this to be the first unambiguous observation of the ion-effect on aerosol nucleation using a particle beam under conditions that resemble the Earth’s atmosphere. By comparison with ionization using a gamma source we further show that the nature of the ionizing particles is not important for the ion-induced component of the nucleation. This implies that inexpensive ionization sources – as opposed to expensive accelerator beams – can be used for investigations of ion-induced nucleation.”

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EU Green Jobs – FAIL

Tuesday 17 May, 2011 – 05:51 by Grant in Default

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Here’s documentation of my previous editorialising claim – “Fortunately, all they have suceeded in doing is to shift the power and the money from the decadent West to the prosperous emerging New World – an on-going process.” http://greenhousebullcrap.bigblog.com.au/post.do?id=608716

eGOVMONITOR
EU: €20.4 Million From EU Globalisation Fund To Help Redundant Workers In Denmark
Source: European Commission
Published Friday, 6 May, 2011 – 11:59
http://www.egovmonitor.com/node/41877

” …1,650 workers were made redundant when LM Glasfiber decided to close down its factories located in Lunderskov and Hammelev and offshore production to Asia, where the prospects for the wind energy sector are better and market growth is strong. The company increased its production capacity in China by the construction of two factories which were opened in 2009 in the Chinese province of Xinjiang and in the costal city Qin Huang Dao.

The territory affected by the redundancies in LM Glasfiber is the ‘Trekanten’, an area located in Syddanmark, the Southern part of Denmark. Unemployment in the Trekanten area increased by 25% in 2009 in comparison to 2008; the closure of two LM Glasfiber factories significantly raised the rate of unemployment in the area…. ”

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More Science – If Anyone Is Interested.

Tuesday 17 May, 2011 – 05:48 by Grant in Default

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Some more science from the world’s brainiest climatologist.

As he says…

Cp[dT700/dt] = Forcing – λTsfc  !!!!

ROY SPENCER BLOG
Weak Warming of the Oceans 1955-2010 Implies Low Climate Sensitivity
May 12th, 2011 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2011/05/weak-warming-of-the-oceans-1955-2010-implies-low-climate-sensitivity/

” …The feedback parameter λ used here is 4 W m-2 K-1, which implies a climate sensitivity of only 1 deg. C warming from a doubling of CO2. This is much less than the IPCC’s estimate of 2.5 to 3 deg. C of warming.

In particular, note from the above model simulation how the strong feedback mostly offsets the forcing, leaving a small radiative imbalance, consistent with the large discrepancy between Hansen’s average forcing (0.8 W m-2) and the ocean heat content-inferred energy imbalance (0.2 W m-2).

The bottom line is that the ocean has not warmed nearly as much as would be expected based upon the climate sensitivities exhibited by all of the climate models tracked by the IPCC…. ”

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12  “Climate” Slogans – Debunked Again.

Tuesday 17 May, 2011 – 05:46 by Grant in Default

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QUADRANT MAGAZINE
A Dozen Global Warming Slogans
Bob Carter
http://www.quadrant.org.au/magazine/issue/2011/5/a-dozen-global-warming-slogans

” …22 million persons, that equates to $627 per person per year.

12. “There is no do-nothing option in tackling climate change.”

Indeed.

However, it is also the case that there is no demonstrated problem of “dangerous” global warming. Instead, Australia continues to face many self-evident problems of natural climate change and hazardous natural climate events. A national climate policy is clearly needed to address these issues.

The appropriate, cost-effective policy to deal with Victorian bushfires, Queensland floods, droughts, northern Australian cyclones and long-term cooling or warming trends (whether natural or human-caused) is the same. It is to prepare carefully for, and efficaciously deal with, and adapt to, all such events and trends, as and when they happen. Spending billions of dollars on expensive and ineffectual carbon dioxide taxes serves only to reduce our wealth and our capacity to address these genuine problems.

Summing up, it is a blight on Australian society that an incumbent government, and the great majority of media reporters and commentators, continue to propagate the twelve scientific and social inanities discussed in this article in an uncritical fashion. The current discourse on global warming is a frightening example of how political spin and postmodern argumentation have now come to dominate public discussion of all matters, even scientific ones.

——————————————————————————–

Note: To maintain readability, the statements of fact made in this article are not referenced to source in detail. Persons wishing to check their validity should in the first instance consult my book Climate: The Counter Consensus, or the following websites:

Evans, D., 2011. “Carbon tax and temperature. By how much will a carbon dioxide tax reduce Australia’s temperature?” http://joannenova.com.au/2011/03/carbon-tax-australia-welcome-to-futility-island

ICECAP, www.icecap.us

International Climate Science Coalition, www.climatescienceinternational.org

JoNova, http://joannenova.com.au

Liljegren, Lucia, 2011 (Feb. 19). HadCrut January Anomaly: 0.194C. The Blackboard. http://rankexploits.com/musings/2011/hadcrut-january-anomaly-0-194c

Non-governmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), www.nipccreport.org

The Carbon Sense Coalition, http://carbon-sense.com

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The Andrew Bolt Show Starts

Tuesday 17 May, 2011 – 05:44 by Grant in Default

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10am Sunday AEST
Not since Alan Jones on NINE have we had any right wing commentry at all – well done TEN

Well done Andrew.

http://ten.com.au/boltreport.htm

Thanks, thanks, thanks
Andrew Bolt Blog
Monday, May 09, 2011 at 12:49pm
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/thanks_thanks_thanks/

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The Planet Itself Mocks Them

Saturday 14 May, 2011 – 02:54 by Grant in Default

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We who know smile at this because “The Globe” is going to cool, at least for a while, and the sea level rise will stall along with it and desperatey proping up the figures and data is just going to result in tears for them.
Bo ho – poor little greenies.

FORBES MAGAZINE
NASA-Funded Group Doctors Sea Level Data
May. 11 2011 – 1:02 pm
James M. Taylor
http://blogs.forbes.com/jamestaylor/2011/05/11/nasa-funded-group-doctors-sea-level-data/

” …That’s more than double the sea level rise that occurred during the twentieth century. A more “mainstream” prediction among alarmists is 3 feet of sea level rise this

century. Some alarmists have even projected 20 feet of global sea level rise this century.

Satellite measurements, however, show global sea level rose merely 0.83 inches during the first decade of the 21st century (a pace of just 8 inches for the entire century),

and has barely risen at all since 2006. This puts alarmists in the embarrassing position of defending predictions that are not coming true in the real world.

The University of Colorado Sea Level Research Group is coming to their rescue. The NASA-funded group claims glacial melt is removing weight that had been pressing down

on land masses, which in turn is causing land mass to rise. This welcome news mitigates sea-level rise from melting glacial ice, meaning sea level will rise less than

previously thought. However, it is very inconvenient for alarmist sea level predictions. Therefore, instead of reporting the amount by which sea level is rising in the real world,

the Sea Level Research Group has begun adding 0.3 millimeters per year of fictitious sea level rise to “compensate” for rising land mass…. ”

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AUS Greens In Strategic Withdrawal

Friday 13 May, 2011 – 04:15 by Grant in Default

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Seems it wasn’t good politics to double everyone’s power bill for no good reason after all.
Whodave thunk it?!

SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Emission impossible as Greens put gas targets on ice
Ben Cubby
May 11, 2011 .
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/emission-impossible-as-greens-put-gas-targets-on-ice-20110510-1ehbf.html

“THE Greens have quietly shelved their long-held greenhouse gas cuts target of up to 40 per cent by 2020, meaning no party in Parliament is actively pushing for emissions cuts at levels recommended by climate-change scientists…. ”

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Hybrids – FAIL

Tuesday 10 May, 2011 – 05:20 by Grant in Default

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This is what happens when they try and force “alternatives” on us – which trendies use and which we all pay for.

How many billions have been wasted on hybrids?

UK DAILY MAIL
Diesel cars ‘better than hybrids’ for fuel efficiency
By Ray Massey
Last updated at 9:12 AM on 6th May 2011
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1384129/Diesel-cars-better-hybrids-fuel-efficiency.html

” …This showed that in its tests a BMW 320Ed small executive saloon managed 64.2 miles to the gallon – ahead of the Prius’s 61.4mpg. Over a year’s driving of 12,000 miles, the BMW will cost £1,120 – or £51 less than the Prius at £1,171…. ”

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CO2 Science – Big Report

Tuesday 10 May, 2011 – 05:17 by Grant in Default

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“CO2 Science” – http://www.co2science.org/index.php – pumps out a huge volume of pure science on that tiny trace gas that sustains all the life on this planet.

Here is just one notable report from them…

http://www.co2science.org/education/reports/prudentpath/prudentpath.pdf
http://www.co2science.org/education/reports/prudentpath/prudentpath.php

Carbon Dioxide and Earth’s Future: Pursuing the Prudent Path
Executive Summary
http://www.co2science.org/education/reports/prudentpath/execsum.php

” …In the pages that follow, we present this oft-neglected evidence via a review of the pertinent scientific literature. In the case of the biospheric benefits of atmospheric CO2 enrichment, we find that with more CO2 in the air, plants grow bigger and better in almost every conceivable way, and that they do it more efficiently, with respect to their utilization of valuable natural resources, and more effectively, in the face of environmental constraints. And when plants benefit, so do all of the animals and people that depend upon them for their sustenance.

Likewise, in the case of climate model inadequacies, we reveal their many shortcomings via a comparison of their “doom and gloom” predictions with real-world observations. And this exercise reveals that even though the world has warmed substantially over the past century or more — at a rate that is claimed by many to have been unprecedented over the past one to two millennia — this report demonstrates that none of the environmental catastrophes that are predicted by climate alarmists to be produced by such a warming has ever come to pass. And this fact — that there… ”

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Poor, Poor Greenies.

Tuesday 10 May, 2011 – 05:15 by Grant in Default

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Wazzamatta? aren’t they buying it anymore?!

REUTERS
Rich nations miss U.N. climate finance deadline
By Alister Doyle, Environment Correspondent
OSLO | Fri May 6, 2011 10:29am EDT
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/06/us-climate-cash-idUSTRE74534120110506

” …Rich nations promised new and additional climate funds at a 2009 summit in Copenhagen, and repeated the pledge in Cancun. Rich nations have done most to cause global warming, by emitting most greenhouse gases since the Industrial Revolution.

Beck said the uncertainty about the funds “summarizes the fragile trust and confidence that emerged from Cancun.”

An international report this week said seas could rise by more than previously expected, up to 1.6 meters (5ft 3in) this century, a big worry for coastal communities and island states from the Pacific to the Indian Ocean…. ”

And there “could” be fairies at the bottom of my garden also.

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Paper

Sunday 08 May, 2011 – 16:36 by Grant in Default

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The Long Wait Starts For Global Warming.

This paper warns of the distinct possibility of a new “Little Ice Age” now coming on.

ARCTIC ENVIRONMENT BY THE MIDDLE OF
THIS CENTURY

Nils-Axel Mörner
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics, Rösundavägen 17, 13336 Saltsjöbaden, Sweden,
morner@pog.nu
http://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/uploads/media/Moerner_Science_environm_sea_level_3_11_Paper_534.pdf

“ABSTRACT:
At around 2040-2050 we will be in a new major Solar Minimum. It is to be
expected that we will then have a new “Little Ice Age” over the Arctic and NW
Europe. The past Solar Minima were linked to a general speeding-up of the Earth’s
rate of rotation. This affected the surface currents and southward penetration of
Arctic water in the North Atlantic causing “Little Ice Ages” over northwestern
Europe and the Arctic…. ”

Also Here…

THE HOCKEY SCHTICK BLOG
Thursday, May 5, 2011
Geophysicist Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner predicts new Little Ice Age by the middle of this century
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2011/05/geophysicist-dr-nils-axel-morner.html

“Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner is the past chair of the Paleogeophysics and Geodynamics department at Stockholm University in Sweden. Dr. Mörner has just published a peer-reviewed paper showing that the Sun will be in a new major Solar Minimum by the middle of this century, resulting in a new Little Ice Age over the Arctic and NW Europe.

Dr. Morner bases his analysis upon solar influences on the Earth’s length of day and the cosmic ray theory of Svensmark et al., and finds the analysis provides conclusions “completely opposite to the scenarios presented by the IPCC.”… ”

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“Climate” Drifts Off Into Cloud Cuckoo Land

Sunday 08 May, 2011 – 16:34 by Grant in Default

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QUADRANT MAGAZINE
Wrong advice, wrong policy
by Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks, Bill Kininmonth & Des Moore
April 25, 2011
http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2011/04/government-misadvised

” …Despite the ready public availability of our reports, and of similar analyses by other independent scientists that also demonstrate there is no justification for continued alarm about global warming, neither the government nor its scientific advisors have offered answers to the criticisms presented. Meanwhile, the MCCC continues on its stately way, its members making major public policy decisions awhile that are based upon patently flawed and inadequate scientific advice.

Good public policy is seldom formulated on the back of determined ignorance, accompanied by an ostrich-like refusal to participate in rational public discussion.

Authors:
Bob Carter is a geologist, David Evans a mathematician and computer modeller, Stewart Franks a hydrologist and engineer, Bill Kininmonth a meteorologist and former Director of the National Climate Centre, and Des Moore a former Deputy Secretary of Treasury.”

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I Blame The Education System

Sunday 08 May, 2011 – 16:33 by Grant in Default

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THE PUBLIC FAILS THE KNOWLEDGE TEST ON CARBON
IS MEDIA POLLUTION THE CAUSE?

Guest Post By Stephen L. Harper
April 29th 2011
http://joannenova.com.au/2011/04/carbon-demonized-by-climate-propaganda/

“A survey just conducted in the streets of Perth, Australia shows a disturbing lack of basic understanding of the roles carbon and carbon dioxide play in life processes on planet earth. It also highlights some monumental elementary misapprehensions regarding climate change issues.

A staggering 37% of carbon-based-life-form respondents are keen on reducing carbon in the human body. Perhaps the amputation of an appendage at the end of the leg will be the new way to reduce one’s carbon footprint.

Equally remarkable is the finding that 44% of respondents wish to eliminate carbon and carbon dioxide from food and drink altogether. Nonplussed are the 28% of respondents who don’t think there is any carbon or carbon dioxide in food and drink in the first place…. ”

” …The carbon in meat, milk and salad came from the sky. Did they forget to mention that? I can’t think why.

Don’t misread this, it’s not about how clever the public is or isn’t, it’s about how well “the science” has been conveyed. All the glossy brochures, school handouts, 3,000 page reports, press releases, endless repetition of “carbon pollution” by politicians and journalists, and coloring in competitions have been effective propaganda. The Ministry of Disinformation has been hard at work.

Thanks to Stephen Harper for this original, insightful contribution. It must have taken weeks to compile. The questions and results are documented in this PDF. The survey covered a broad cross section of ages and voting types, and Stephen plans to keep surveying to increase the size of the survey…. ”

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The Corruption Of Climate Science

Sunday 08 May, 2011 – 16:30 by Grant in Default

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Dr. Tim Ball Website
Corruption of Climate Science Has Created 30 Lost Years
by Dr. Tim Ball on May 5, 2011
http://drtimball.com/2011/corruption-of-climate-science-has-created-30-lost-years/

” …Traditionally, the older scientists held to the prevailing wisdom and were challenged by the new, skeptical graduates looking for wider answers. In climatology, the opposite has happened. The so-called skeptics challenging the prevailing wisdom are the professors who have researched and taught the subject for 30 years or longer. Their knowledge is much wider than that of the new young scientists because climate science has stagnated for thirty years. All the funding was directed to only one side of climate science, and that was the side promoted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and accepted as the ‘official science’ by governments.

It’s now frightening how little climate science is known by both sides of the debate on human causation of global warming. I wrote this sentence before I saw a paper from Michigan State University that found,… ”

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Tornadoes NOT

Sunday 08 May, 2011 – 16:28 by Grant in Default

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One more for the Have-you-been-taking-these-people-seriously department.

NOAA Scientist Rejects Global Warming Link to Tornadoes
By James Rosen
Published April 28, 2011
FoxNews.com
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/04/28/noaa-scientist-rejects-global-warming-link-tornadoes/

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Canadian Election

Thursday 05 May, 2011 – 06:34 by Grant in Default

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This Time Mag. greenie is sanguine about the demise of the issue in Canada.

Canada Turns Away From Climate Policy
Posted by Bryan Walsh
Tuesday, May 3, 2011 at 2:32 pm
http://ecocentric.blogs.time.com/2011/05/03/canada-turns-away-from-climate-policy/

” …But this is an environmental blog—what does the Canadian election mean for environmental and climate policy? As it turns out, nothing very good. I’ll explain why in a second, but first of all, there’s something you need to know about Canada. Americans like to picture Canada as a progressive, friendly, extremely green and Kyoto Protocol-signing sort of country—and in many ways it is. But the truth is, Canada is also a petrostate. The country has 175.2 billion barrels of oil in reserves, third-most in the world, and it produces 2.6 million barrels of crude oil a day. When we think of foreign oil in the U.S., most of us imagine a Saudi sheik or a Venezuelan despot, but the single biggest supplier of foreign oil to the U.S. is our friendly neighbor to the north. And thanks to the growth of oil sands (or tar sands, depending on how polluting you consider them), petroleum and fossil fuel energy in general has only become more important to the Canadian economy, moving the country’s power center to the West, where politicians like Harper hail from.

So Harper’s clear victory means you can expect more industry-friendly policies from the now ruling Conservative Party, which is a little bit like Republicans-lite. That also means that Canada will continue its antagonism on the global climate stage, where it has long since abandoned any possibility of meeting its Kyoto carbon reduction targets… ”

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Triviality Of The 350 PPM Of “Carbon” – Watch – Learn.

Tuesday 26 April, 2011 – 08:25 by Grant in Default

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In this brilliant Utube video. The 350 red grains of rice representing CO2 are sitting on top of 1,000,000 grains of white rice and the twelve or so red grains of rice are the human contribution – and a small increase in that 12 grains of human contribution is supposed to be causing an imminent, urgent, climate catastrophe if “we don’t ACT NOW”.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYLmLW4k4aI&feature=player_embedded

Embarrassing innit?

Don’t tell me you believed it.

Well we all make mistakes.

I blame the education system.

The Earth’s GHG is water vapour – CO2 is trivial – you need a huge, esoteric, complex, crystal ball, astrological, computer model to turn it into a serious threat.

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Easter Road Toll

Saturday 23 April, 2011 – 15:30 by Grant in Default

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This Easter millions of Australians  got into their motor vehicles and drove all over the country.

So far only seven out of 20 million of them have died.

Per capita our road toll is still far lower than the USA, NZ and many other countries.

Such a pity that so many policemen had to give up their holidays, and so many Australians had to lose their licence and their jobs and that so many had to finish up in gaol at vast expense to us all, in a futile effort to reduce that road toll to zero.

Back in the 1920s and 30s we experimented with the prohibition of alcohol.
The people that brought that prohibition to us then never went away.
They kept on with dogged persistence and are slowly imposing their will again, ever tighter on us, in the year 2011.
The police and the law-and-order brigade of course find much more job satisfaction in dealing with the minor “substance” peccadillos of the average citizen than those of nasty dangerous criminals.

We do need law enforcement, but at present it is way over the top and nobody is counting the cost,

So much sacrifice for so little result.

Sad really. What a waste.Frown

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China – Green – NOT

Friday 22 April, 2011 – 07:58 by Grant in Default

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Another one bites the dust

Bjorn Lomborg himself p^sses all over the China-is-turning-Green claims in the WaPo.

WASHINGTON POST
Hold the accolades on China’s ‘green leap forward’
By Bjorn Lomborg, Wednesday, April 20, 7:50 PM
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/hold-the-accolades-on-chinas-green-leap-forward/2011/04/19/AFLdZMEE_story.html

” …But the facts do not support this “green” success story.

China indeed invests more than any other nation in environmentally friendly energy production: $34 billion in 2009, or twice as much as the United States. Almost all of its investment, however, is spent producing green energy for Western nations that pay heavy subsidies for consumers to use solar panels and wind turbines.

China was responsible for half of the world’s production of solar panels in 2010, but only 1 percent was installed there. Just as China produces everything from trinkets to supertankers, it is exporting green technology — which makes it a giant of manufacturing, not of environmental friendliness.

In wind power, China both produces and consumes. In 2009, it put up about a third of the world’s new wind turbines. But much of this has been for show. A 2008 Citigroup analysis found that about one-third of China’s wind power assets were not in use. Many turbines are not connected to the transmission grid. Chinese power companies built wind turbines that they didn’t use as the cheapest way of satisfying — on paper — government requirements to boost renewable energy capacity…. ”

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They’ve Still Got Us by The Short & Curlies.

Wednesday 20 April, 2011 – 07:49 by Grant in Default

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I keep saying – “we live in a prosperous egalitarian society based entirely on cheap, abundant, fossil fuels for which there is no demonstrated viasble alternative”  this oilman points it out as well.
There is no need for them to be concerned about “alternatives” because there are none and there will be none to come – keep inventing folks!


THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
APRIL 16, 2011.
Oil Without Apologies
John Watson, Chevron’s CEO, says Americans must stop taking affordable energy for granted. That means more ‘oil, gas and coal.’
By KIMBERLEY A. STRASSEL
San Ramon, Calif.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704013604576248881417246502.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop

” …Mr. Watson has little time for the Beltway fiction that America will soon be able to do without, or nearly without, fossil fuels. Yes, “we need all forms of energy.” But the world consumes 250 million barrels of energy equivalent today, only a “tiny fraction of which” is wind and solar—and even those “are not affordable at scale,” he says.

As for biofuels, “we would need to consume land the size of states” to hit the country’s current ethanol targets. Chevron is investigating biofuels, but Mr. Watson says the “economics aren’t there” yet…. ”

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Excellent SPPI Paper

Wednesday 20 April, 2011 – 07:47 by Grant in Default

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TEN MAJOR FAILURES OF CONSENSUS SCIENCE
by Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, AMS Fellow
March 15, 2011
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/10_major_consensus_failures.pdf

“We will look at some of the major findings, assessments or model predictions from the IPCC and other national climate centers and NGOs, that we believe have failed and let you decide then whether or not the their science and model projections should be the bedrock onto which we build public policy.

1. Warming is said to be unprecedented and accelerating. It is neither…. ”

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Philosophically Speaking

Wednesday 20 April, 2011 – 07:46 by Grant in Default

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QUADRANT MAGAZINE
Science without method
by John Nicol
April 12, 2011
Global warming research: whatever happened to the scientific method?
http://www.quadrant.org.au/blogs/doomed-planet/2011/04/scientific-method

” …Most of these papers are, of course, based upon the output from speculative and largely experimental, atmospheric models representing exercises in virtual reality, rather than observed, real-world, measurements and phenomena. Which leads to the question “What scientific methodology is in operation here?”

Though much has been written concerning the scientific method, and the ill defined question as to what constitutes a correct scientific approach to a complex problem, comparatively little comment has been made about the strange mix of empirical and virtual reality reasoning that characterises contemporary climate change research. It is obvious that the many different disciplines described as being scientific, rather than social, economic, or of the arts, may apply somewhat different criteria to determine what fundamental processes should define the “scientific method” as applied for each discipline. Dismayingly, for many years now there has been a growing tendency for many formerly “pure” scientific disciplines to embody characteristics of many others, and in some cases that includes the adoption of research attitudes and methods that are more appropriately applied in the arts and social sciences. “Post-modernism”, if you like, has proved to be a contagious disease in academia generally…. ”

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Testimony To The Congress

Wednesday 20 April, 2011 – 07:44 by Grant in Default

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Unlike the aussie parliament the US Congress does its job and actually examines “the science”.

Research to Date on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm
Testimony to Subcommittee on Energy and Environment
Committee on Science, Space and Technology – March 31, 2011 (Rev)
Professor J. Scott Armstrong, University of Pennsylvania, with Kesten C. Green, University of South Australia, and Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/reprint/research_to_date_forecasting.pdf

“Abstract
The validity of the manmade global warming alarm requires the support of scientific forecasts of (1) a substantive long-term rise in global mean temperatures in the absence of regulations, (2) serious net harmful effects due to global warming, and (3) cost-effective regulations that would produce net beneficial effects versus alternatives such as doing nothing.
Without scientific forecasts for all three aspects of the alarm, there is no scientific basis to enact regulations. In effect, it is a three-legged stool. Despite repeated appeals to global warming alarmists, we have been unable to find scientific forecasts for any of the three legs…. ”

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Time To Address AUS ABC Bias.

Sunday 17 April, 2011 – 09:55 by Grant in Default

views (342)

The ABC has let us down very badly on “Climate”. It has, with a few noble exceptions, become an absolute leftist joke.

Let’s stop complaining and actually do something.
I suggest forcing a balance.
From now on ALL News and Current affairs jobs, including promotions, be filled, in turn, from a list supplied from the “The Right” of politics (Liberal & Labor) and then from a list from “The Left” of politics (Liberal & Labor & Greens).

WUWT
“Get Carter” campaign grows on Australia’s ABC radio & TV,
Posted on April 10, 2011 by Ric Werme
Guest post by Bob Fernley-Jones
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/04/10/%e2%80%9cget-carter%e2%80%9d-campaign-grows-on-austrailias-abc-radio-tv/#more-37681

The anti-tax crowd is winning, but you’d never know from the ABC
Andrew Bolt
Sunday, April 10, 2011 at 06:06am
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/the_anti_tax_crowd_is_winning_but_youd_never_know/

“Why did yesterday’s rally against Julia Gillard’s carbon tax gets a much more hostile coverage from the ABC than the simultaneous rally for it?

Here’s the ABC report on yesterday’s anti-tax rally:… ”

“…Now here’s the ABC report on yesterday’s pro-tax rally, which, if anything, was smaller than the rally against:… ”

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Good Work From The Carbon Sense Coalition.

Sunday 17 April, 2011 – 09:50 by Grant in Default

views (170)

This submission is also an exellent expose on Climate Alarmism in general.

Clean, Green and Barefoot in the Snow.
A Submission on The Proposal from the Government of New Zealand to set an Emissions Reduction Target of 50% of 1990 emissions by 2050.
by The Carbon Sense Coalition
www.carbon-sense.com
http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/barefoot-in-the-snow.pdf

” …Do we face Global Warming or Global Cooling?
We can do no better than quote David Archibald, an Australian scientist who has looked at the relationships between solar cycles and earth’s climate.
He says:
“Do we live in a special time in which the laws of physics and
nature are suspended?

No, we do not.

“Can we expect relationships between the Sun’s activity and
climate, that we can see in data going back several hundred
years, to continue for at least another 20 years?

With absolute certainty…. ”

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The Future Catches Up On ‘Em – AGAIN!

Sunday 17 April, 2011 – 09:48 by Grant in Default

views (230)

Another for the They-just-keep-gettin-it-WRONG department.

No debate needed here – their own words condemn them.

Gore and his fellow alarmists are on thin ice
Andrew Bolt
Sunday, April 10, 2011 at 06:28am
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/gore_and_his_fellow_alarmists_are_on_thin_ice/

“The Arctic ice refuses to go away, which forces the warmists to keep modifying their predictions. Take Al Gore.

In December 2008, he said “The entire north polar ice cap will be gone in 5 years”… http://anhonestclimatedebate.wordpress.com/predictions/11/

In April 2009, after a big refreeze, Gore pushed out his prediction of a possible ice-free Arctic to 2014:

Researchers at the Naval Postgraduate School have told us that the entire Arctic ice cap may totally disappear in summer in as little as five years if nothing is done to curb emissions of greenhouse gas pollution. http://blog.algore.com/2009/04/testimony.html

In October 2009, after a summer in which the Arctic ice hung around as per recent usual, Gore adjusted again, extending his prediction to 2019 http://business.maktoob.com/20090000389134/Gore_beats_climate_change_drum_in_Dubai/Article.htm :… ”

Unlike The Antarctic, which is kilometers thick, the Arctic ice is a few meters thick, floating on a deep ocean and subject to myriad other influences apart from air temperature.

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The Hertzberg Paper

Sunday 17 April, 2011 – 09:45 by Grant in Default

views (66)

The Lynching of Carbon Dioxide – The Innocent Source of Life
by Dr. Martin Hertzberg
http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/05/hertzberg.pdf

” …Now Al Gore, the IPCC, and the vast majority of politicians in the US and Europe argue that this is all established science. But I am here to show that not only is this not established science, but that the objective evidence available indicates that it is false.
Shocking isn’t it? You might ask, how can a lifelong Democrat like myself reject my party’s position on global warming and join the camp of the skeptics, virtually all of whom are Republicans or neocons.
So, I’ll tell you how it all started for me…. ”

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It’s Not Werkin’ Anymore.

Sunday 17 April, 2011 – 09:43 by Grant in Default

views (80)

Takes a while – it’s like turning around a supertanker.

 

 

 

ENERGY TRIBUNE
Warmageddon Deferred, says Joe Public
By Peter C Glover
Posted on Apr. 08, 2011
http://www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm/7067/Warmageddon-Deferred-says-Joe-Public

” …and that CO2 itself is a minor greenhouse gas. But hey, were talking opinion here, let’s not get hung up on hard facts – precisely the point being made by Benny Peiser at the recent London debate. Peiser was essentially arguing that the science has become irrelevant in the current climate debate, the public having largely made its mind up, as one observer put it to, “vote out any party that pushes the green line too far”.

Roger Helmer, a British member of the European Parliament, summed up the current disconnect between political and public priorities on climate more forcefully: “The public are sick of the climate change debate, and resentful at being constantly blamed every time they drive a car or fly to Majorca. We don’t believe it, we won’t vote for it, we won’t pay for it. And the sooner the government catches up with the mood, the better.”

But that’s hardly likely to slow down the ‘green’ social engineers who perceive global warming as a tool to achieve broader social changes. The trouble is, when it comes to global warming alarmism, believers have hit a public opinion wall known as Downs’ Syndrome…. ”

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The Fraud Explained in Layman’s Terms

Tuesday 12 April, 2011 – 04:51 by Grant in Default

views (542)

This brilliant explanation by a reformed aussie Alarmist, to the anti-carbon tax rally, reported in the Canadian Financial Post, in easy to understand prose.

How you were “had” and why “The Planet” has other ideas about warming and cooling!

Climate models go cold
Special to the Financial Post Apr 7, 2011 – 8:46 PM ET | Last Updated: Apr 7, 2011 8:57 PM ET
Carbon warming too minor to be worth worrying about
By David Evans
http://opinion.financialpost.com/2011/04/07/climate-models-go-cold/

” …Let’s be perfectly clear. Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, and other things being equal, the more carbon dioxide in the air, the warmer the planet. Every bit of carbon dioxide that we emit warms the planet. But the issue is not whether carbon dioxide warms the planet, but how much.

Most scientists, on both sides, also agree on how much a given increase in the level of carbon dioxide raises the planet’s temperature, if just the extra carbon dioxide is considered. These calculations come from laboratory experiments; the basic physics have been well known for a century.

The disagreement comes about what happens next.

The planet reacts to that extra carbon dioxide, which changes everything. Most critically, the extra warmth causes more water to evaporate from the oceans. But does the water hang around and increase the height of moist air in the atmosphere, or does it simply create more clouds and rain? Back in 1980, when the carbon dioxide theory started, no one knew. The alarmists guessed that it would increase the height of moist air around the planet, which would warm the planet even further, because the moist air is also a greenhouse gas.

This is the core idea of every official climate model: For each bit of warming due to carbon dioxide, they claim it ends up causing three bits of warming due to the extra moist air. The climate models amplify the carbon dioxide warming by a factor of three — so two-thirds of their projected warming is due to extra moist air (and other factors); only one-third is due to extra carbon dioxide.

That’s the core of the issue. All the disagreements and misunderstandings spring from this. The alarmist case is based on this guess about moisture in the atmosphere, and there is simply no evidence for the amplification that is at the core of their alarmism.

Weather balloons had been measuring the atmosphere since the 1960s, many thousands of them every year. The climate models all predict that as the planet warms, a hot spot of moist air will develop over the tropics about 10 kilometres up, as the layer of moist air expands upwards into the cool dry air above. During the warming of the late 1970s, ’80s and ’90s, the weather balloons found no hot spot. None at all. Not even a small one. This evidence proves that the climate models are fundamentally flawed, that they greatly overestimate the temperature increases due to carbon dioxide.

This evidence first became clear around the mid-1990s.

At this point, official “climate science” stopped being a science. In science, empirical evidence always trumps theory, no matter how much you are in love with the theory. If theory and evidence disagree, real scientists scrap the theory. But official climate science ignored the crucial weather balloon evidence, and other subsequent evidence that backs it up, and instead clung to their carbon dioxide theory — that just happens to keep them in well-paying jobs with lavish research grants, and gives great political power to their government masters…. ”

“Financial Post
David Evans consulted full-time for the Australian Greenhouse Office (now the Department of Climate Change) from 1999 to 2005, and part-time 2008 to 2010, modelling Australia’s carbon in plants, debris, mulch, soils, and forestry and agricultural products. He is a mathematician and engineer, with six university degrees, including a PhD from Stanford University in electrical engineering. The comments above were made to the Anti-Carbon-Tax Rally in Perth, Australia, on March 23.”

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Andrew Bolt Gets His Own Program

Sunday 10 April, 2011 – 10:32 by Grant in Default

views (139)

And now the really big news.

HERALD SUN
Bolt to make his mark on the box
Colin Vickery
April 08, 201112:00AM
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/ipad/bolt-to-make-his-mark-on-the-box/story-fn6bfmgc-1226035614429

” …HERALD Sun columnist Andrew Bolt will host a new television program, The Bolt Report, on Network Ten.

The political and comment show will screen on Ten on Sundays at 10am from May 8.

“It will be like my blog, made for television,” Bolt said.

“We’ll be talking politics, the media and pop culture. We’ll cut through the spin and have a laugh. We plan to be unpredictable.”… ”

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The Greening Of The Earth or Carbon Pollution?

Sunday 10 April, 2011 – 10:29 by Grant in Default

views (91)

That “dangerous” “pollutant”, carbon dioxide, that they want to restrict, tax and ration is actually causing the biosphere to flourish and mankind to prosper.

WORLD CLIMATE REPORT
March 23, 2011
Global Greening Continues: Did We Cause It?
http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2011/03/23/global-greening-continues-did-we-cause-it/

” …You know the story. Humans are burning fossil fuels and because of their actions, the world is now warming at an unprecedented pace. This warming is stressing ecosystems throughout the world with devastating consequences to vegetation from one end of the earth to the other. If we do not act fast, we will destroy the planet and have a tough time facing our grandchildren. We can all hear it now—why didn’t you do something when there was still time to save the Earth?

Two articles have appeared recently in the scientific literature with results that may make us reconsider this entire affair. The first appears in the Journal of Geographical Sciences dealing with worldwide trends in the vigor of vegetation since the early 1980s—the results may surprise you, but they did not surprise us given all that has been written on this subject and certainly covered at World Climate Report.

Three Chinese scientists (all with the last name of Liu) used satellite data to detect changes occurring in vegetation throughout the world. Rather than use the popular satellite-based Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Liu et al. (a.k.a., Liu3) decided to use the Leaf Area Index (LAI)…. ”

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Le_ked ALP Paper And A Response

Sunday 10 April, 2011 – 10:25 by Grant in Default

views (208)

The Australian Labor Party sent out a Climate Tax primer to it’s MPs.

It was leaked.

Climate facts Labor overlooked
by Bob Carter, Alan Moran & David Evans
April 3, 2011

“Addressing the facts on climate change and energy

An internal strategy paper has been provided to Labor MPs for use in the promotion of the Government’s proposed new carbon dioxide tax.

We offer critiques of the two most substantive parts of that paper, namely “Carbon Price” and “Climate Impact on Australia”. The full text of the paper is posted (pdf) here…

An analysis of the strategy paper

Statements in bold italics are allegations (numbered by us) from the strategy paper; our responses are in ordinary typeface:… ”

The original here –
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/governments_brief_to_alp_mps.pdf

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US Congress Climate Follies

Saturday 09 April, 2011 – 16:21 by Grant in Default

views (104)

TIME ECOCENTRIC BLOGS
The Senate Votes Down Efforts to Block EPA Climate Regulation—For Now
Posted by Bryan Walsh
Thursday, April 7, 2011 at 12:55 am
http://ecocentric.blogs.time.com/2011/04/07/the-senate-votes-down-efforts-to-block-epa-climate-regulation%e2%80%94for-now/#ixzz1IxuY5uMz

” …But while the Inhofe-McConnell bill failed to muster the 60 votes needed to break a filibuster (the filibuster—suddenly the environmentalists’ friend!), 50 senators voted in favor of legislation that essentially denies the reality of climate change, including 46 Republicans in the upper chamber, and four conservative Democrats. (Maine’s Susan Collins was the lone Republican to vote no, preventing the bill from claiming a majority. Except a primary challenge in 3, 2, 1…) In addition, there were a handful of less draconian bills sponsored by Democrats that would have delayed any EPA carbon regulations—and while those pieces of legislation only received a few votes, just the fact that they were put forward indicates that there are a number of conservative Democrats uncomfortable with the idea of climate regulation. The fact that the White House promised to veto any anti-EPA bills apparently wasn’t enough to dissuade them. What’s more, the House is set to vote on similar legislation tomorrow—and with a big Republican majority, it’s sure to pass, although that’s as far as it will go…. ”

And what did happen in “the House”?

POLITICO
House votes to kill EPA climate regulations
ROBIN BRAVENDER | 4/7/11 3:39 PM EDT
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0411/52759.html

“House lawmakers sent a loud message to the White House on Thursday: They want to obliterate the Obama administration’s climate rules.

The chamber voted 255-172, primarily along party lines, to nullify the EPA’s greenhouse gas regulations and the scientific finding they’re based on. No Republicans opposed the bill, but 19 Democrats broke ranks with their party to support the measure…. ”

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UK Windpower – FAIL

Saturday 09 April, 2011 – 16:14 by Grant in Default

views (85)

UK DAILY MAIL
A lot of hot air: Wind farms ‘working at just 21% of capacity’
By David Derbyshire
Last updated at 9:01 AM on 7th April 2011
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1374251/Wind-farms-working-just-21-capacity.html

” … The Trust also found that for extended periods all the UK’s wind turbines linked to the National Grid muster less than 20 megawatts of energy at a given point, enough power for fewer than 7,000 households to boil their kettles… ”

” …The UK has more than 3,100 working wind turbines. According to the wind industry, they are capable of generating more than 5.2 gigawatts of electricity – enough for nearly three million homes…. ”

But they never do

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Dr. David Suzuki – A Failed Life

Friday 08 April, 2011 – 06:11 by Grant in Default

views (123)

Poor David. He annointed himself to save the world from overheating and failed.
He must be crying all the way to the bank these days.

The Globe stopped warming.

Three record cold winters set in in a row.

“The Right” noticed that all the Alarmists were all from “The Left” and smelt a rat.

David, et al, will continue to predict the future, based on a short global warming period, and the faithful will follow, but the simple fact that the “natural forcings” have, even temporarily, now neutralised human Global Warming (AGW) in the face of a huge, unprecedented, ongoing, human burning of fuel and rising CO2 levels, has destroyed them.

Then there’s global cooling.
The globe could, quite plausibly, continue to cool for a long time, eventually making David Suzuki, et al, just another failed doomsday cult.

TckTckTck
Partner Spotlight: Dr. David Suzuki, co-founder of the David Suzuki Foundation
Posted on April 6, 2011 by Tck Team
http://ht.ly/4uN4M

” …I think it’s too late to avoid catastrophic climate change, but must we continue to add to it? I have grandchildren and while I do not hold any illusions that I or my Foundation will turn things around,

I believe we define ourselves by the doing. I hope when I’m on my deathbed that my grandchildren will gather around me and I can look them in the eye and tell them “Grandpa did the best he could”,

and that’s all anyone can do…. ”

When he’s on his deathbed his grandchildren will gather around him and he can look them in the eye and tell them “Grandpa did the best he could, there’s no fool like an old fool, enjoy what’s left of the royalties”.

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Obama Wants 2nd Term – Drops Climate

Wednesday 06 April, 2011 – 05:01 by Grant in Default

views (734)

Seems he does care if he’s only a one term president after all. Nice car, nice house, big plane, snivelling sycophants by the dozen.
like all our PMs, it always goes to their head, they always loose the common touch and they never know when to go.

NATION REVIEW ONLINE
More Sad Times for the Greens
April 4, 2011 11:38 A.M.
By Steven F. Hayward
http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/263741/more-sad-times-greens-steven-f-hayward

” …But one quotation in Samuelsohn’s Friday story really jumps out, from Frank O’Donnell of Clean Air Watch, who runs a one-man operation that somehow gets lots of press ink from being in every reporter’s rolodex. O’Donnell told Samuelsohn: ”It’s clear the president is running for reelection and that at this point, environmental protection is not on his top list of priorities.”

Say what, Frank?  I thought environmental protection was supposed to be popular. Or maybe he’s started looking at the polls, like Gallup’s annual survey that shows steady slippage in public sympathy for environmental issues for several years now (predating the recession), or the Pew survey that shows Americans rank global warming way way down the list of major concerns, just barely above obesity.

And if you wanted any more evidence that the greens are on the ropes with the American public, Samuelsohn has another gem quotation:… ”

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It’s The Sun Foolish One

Tuesday 05 April, 2011 – 06:10 by Grant in Default

views (156)

THE RATIONAL OPTIMIST
Keeping an open mind about the sun
http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/keeping-open-mind-about-sun

“Correlation ain’t causation.
But for some time I have been noticing that the correlations between certain aspects of solar activity and certain aspects of climate are getting really rather impressive — far more so than anything relating to carbon dioxide… ”

” …Here are some of the correlations that have impressed me. Some may be wrong, or misleading. Some come from more trustworthy causes sources than others. Some might have been smoothed or otherwise manipulated. I don’t really know. But it’s interesting to lay them out.

First the Parana river flow and sunspot number…

…Second the Nile river flow and sunspot number:…

…Third, the correlation between cosmic ray flux (as measured by beryllium and carbon isotope levels) and climate in Greenland. Cosmic ray flux varies inversely with solar activity:…

…Fourth, cloud cover and sunspot number:…

…Fifth, carbon 14 and climate in Austrian speleothems (can’t get a good picture off the pdf)….

….Sixth, solar magnetic variation and rate of change of temperature (interannual variation):…

…So the rejection of the solar hypothesis rests on an assumption that causes real problems for the carbon dioxide hypothesis. Either the earth is quick to adjust to a warming factor, in which case the mild warming of the past few decades shows that earth’s sensitivity to carbon dioxide is much lower than the models assume, or there is still lots of warming still to come, in which case it might have been caused by the sun’s ramp-up of its activity prior to 1985.

Either way, it’s wholly premature to say that the solar hypothesis has been investigated and disproved.

There is a startlingly good brief talk by Vincent Courtillot here. It is moderate in tone, impeccably rational and translucently clear.

In it he argues that the actual empirical support for the IPCC’s climate models is poor, while the empirical support for a powerful role for variations in the solar magnetic field as a driver of climate change on earth is good.

He argues that the solar effect could vary by as much as 8 watts per squer metre, or roughly double the forcing of carbon dioxide.

Is he wrong?”

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Paper

Tuesday 05 April, 2011 – 06:08 by Grant in Default

views (790)

Roy Spencer is the world’s brainiest climatologist.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 115, D16109, doi:10.1029/2009JD013371, 2010
On the diagnosis of radiative feedback in the presence
of unknown radiative forcing
Roy W. Spencer1 and William D. Braswell1
Received 12 October 2009; revised 29 March 2010; accepted 12 April 2010; published 24 August 2010.
Spencer-Braswell-JGR-2010
http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/Spencer-Braswell-JGR-2010.pdf

” …Only in the idealized special case of instantaneous and then constant radiative forcing, a situation that probably never occurs either naturally or anthropogenically, can feedback be observed in the presence of unknown radiative forcing. This is true whether the unknown radiative forcing is generated internal or external to the climate system. In the general case, a mixture of both unknownradiative and nonradiative forcings can be expected, and the challenge for feedback diagnosis is to extract the signal of feedback upon nonradiatively forced temperature change in the presence of the noise generated by unknown time-varying radiative forcing. These results underscore the need for more accurate methods of diagnosing feedback from satellite data and for quantitatively relating those feedbacks to long-term climate sensitivity…. ”

Laments he is a political target.
He comments here
On Recent Criticisms of My Research « Roy Spencer, Ph. D.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2011/04/on-recent-criticisms-of-my-research/

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Roger Helmer MEP

Monday 04 April, 2011 – 06:56 by Grant in Default

views (107)

Roger Helmer – A little ray of hope for the UK punter in a very bleak UK outlook.

ROGER HELMER BLOG
Winning the argument on climate change
March 31, 2011, 8:00 am
http://rogerhelmermep.wordpress.com/2011/03/31/winning-the-argument-on-climate-change/

” …In America, it is now clear that President Obama will not be able to get Cap’n’Trade, or any other anti-business climate mitigation measure, through Congress.  It is also starting to look probable that the Environment Protection Agency will be unable to place draconian restrictions on CO2 emissions.  The USA will certainly not accept a new and restrictive global climate agreement unless China and India also do so.

China told a good story at Cancun, and sought to present itself as a player in the global warming policy debate.  Yet it is building a new coal-fired every week (and carbon sequestration remains a fanciful dream).  The Greens love to talk about China’s commitment to green energy, but it seems to me that China is simply committed to making green kit — photovoltaic cells, for example — for the gullible West, regardless of the economics of solar power.  As Galsworthy put it, “Rubbish that sells is not rubbish at all”.  The Chinese are nothing if not pragmatic.  The “green jobs” generated by my domestic 2.4 kw PV system were most likely in Shanghai, not Spalding.

Meantime India is close to emulating China in the production of coal-fired power stations.  India has an enormous emerging middle class, and it’s not about to put that prosperity at risk with green energy.

In Australia, the Australian Labour Party, closely associated with climate mitigation and carbon taxes, received a drubbing… ”

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Get Real Ross Baby.

Monday 04 April, 2011 – 05:17 by Grant in Default

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Ross Garnaut is a retired economist, originally employed to “prove” that it is much less expensive to rush in and fix Climate Change than to just wait, see what actually happens, and then adapt to it.
A paid apparatchik, he parrots the ALP line – pretty polly, pretty polly, SQUARK, carbon is bad, carbon is bad, SQUARK, Tax, Tax.

THE AUSTRALIAN
Power generator InterGen tells Ross Garnaut to drop ‘rhetoric’
Dennis Shanahan, Political editor
March 28, 2011 12:00AM
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/power-generator-intergen-tells-ross-garnaut-to-drop-rhetoric/story-fn59niix-1226029075815

Mr Gunther says, in an article published in The Australian today, that Professor Garnaut’s position on compensating power companies under the Rudd government’s carbon pollution reduction scheme would have resulted in “major damage to the national electricity market” and was a “prescription that will end up damaging the Australian economy”.

” …Professor Garnaut “needs to deliver real-world solutions, not high-level principles that assume away problems”, Mr Gunther writes.

Professor Garnaut will release another major discussion paper on electricity generation and the carbon tax tomorrow, but signalled last week he had not changed his position from 2008, when he argued there were no grounds for compensation for electricity generators…. ”

Related Coverage
BRENT GUNTHER: Garnaut principles could be disastrous
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/ross-review-fever-garnaut-principles-could-prove-to-be-disastrous/story-fn59niix-1226029023629

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Glaciers Growing

Monday 04 April, 2011 – 04:23 by Grant in Default

views (139)

“Climate Change” was pounded into the conventional wisdom with dozens of spurious little unchallenged anecdotes.

One of the most annoying is the old “melting glacier” superstition (for one thing it may just be precipitation, not temperature).

Well, here’s a spurious little anecdote to the contrary, while we wait for some actual, definitive, science on the tens of thousands of the Earth’s glaciers.

ICE AGE NOW
Glaciers growing on Mt. Shasta
Record snowfall to spur even more growth
By Robert Felix
http://www.iceagenow.com/Glaciers_growing_on_Mt_Shasta.htm

“28 Mar 11 – Although the media has done a great job of covering this up, the inconvenient fact is that all seven glaciers on California’s Mount Shasta are growing. This includes Whitney Glacier, the state’s largest.

Yes, growing. Not melting…. ”

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Aussie Poll

Monday 04 April, 2011 – 04:21 by Grant in Default

views (79)

ESSENTIAL MEDIA
Essential Report
Mar 29
Carbon Pricing
http://www.essentialmedia.com.au/carbon-pricing-2/
.
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

Support for the Government’s carbon pricing scheme has fallen over the last 2 weeks. 34% now support the scheme and 51% are opposed.

Opinion has polarized among voters for the major parties. Support among Labor voters has increased from 55% to 63% while opposition from Coalition voters has increased from 73% to 80%.  Support has fallen among Greens voters – 2 weeks ago they split 78% support/11% oppose compared to this week’s 56% support/24% oppose.

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Jo Nova Recommends

Monday 04 April, 2011 – 04:17 by Grant in Default

views (88)

Prof. Dr. Vincent Courtillot Presentation
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IG_7zK8ODGAfeature=player_embedded

Prof Vincent Courtillot speaks with clarity
http://joannenova.com.au/2011/03/prof-vincent-courtillot-speaks-with-clarity/

“Video’s bore me usually, but I enjoyed watching Courtillot — he’s possibly the clearest, fastest, crispest speaker I’ve ever heard, and it’s all the more amazing because he speaks with an accent. Don’t misunderstand — there are no jokes, no satire, and no punch lines here, just an honest summary of the state of the current scientific play, especially with his synopsis of the cosmic ray theory. (He is a colleague of Nir Shaviv).

Usually I find speakers are too slow, but Courtillot packs the words in, without overstatement or monotony. He’s is a smart man who knows his topic well and it’s unusually obvious.

Start at about 6 mins if you want too — though I find all his points interesting. Solar factors most interesting at 15mins-18mins, and again at 21 – 23mins.”

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More Real Fears Of Global Cooling

Saturday 02 April, 2011 – 06:01 by Grant in Default

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The trouble with dismissing real science is that real science is truth and it can turn around and bite you on the bum.

Here is yet another global cooling prediction – trust me, we could all be praying for some Global Warming – and apparently “Extreme Weather” is really bad when the climate cools.

Particuarly worrying is this quote – “Generations ago, scientists believed Ice Ages advanced slowly taking tens of thousands of years. Now some researchers have revealed startling evidence that an Ice Age can be triggered in under 10 years.”

HELIUM
Prepare for new Ice Age now says top paleoclimatologist
by Terrence Aym
March 28, 2011
http://www.helium.com/items/2125333-prepare-for-new-ice-age-now-says-top-paleoclimatologist

” …George Kukla, 77, retired professor of paleoclimatology at Columbia University and researcher at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory responds, “The only thing to worry about global warming is the damage that can be done by worrying. Why are some scientists worried? Perhaps because they feel that to stop worrying may mean to stop being paid.”… ”

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Disingenuous – As In Lying

Saturday 02 April, 2011 – 05:57 by Grant in Default

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Interesting divergence of opinion between two MIT professors in the Boston Globe.

One is semi-retired, owing nothing to anyone, and one is still active is the academic politics.

We in Climate Change owe so much to retired scientists who are at the end of their carreers and beholden to no-one.

Kerry Emanuel starts lying to us here – my clarifying comments in red…

BOSTON GLOBE
Despite uncertainties, need to confront climate change is clear
By Kerry Emanuel
February 15, 2010
http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2010/02/15/climate_changes_are_proven_fact/

OUTSIDE SCIENTIFIC forums, contemporary discussions of the phenomenon of global warming are now so heated that one wonders whether they are contributing to the phenomenon itself.

” …A few essential points are undisputed among climate scientists. First, the surface temperature of the Earth is roughly 60 F higher than it would otherwise be thanks to a few greenhouse gasses that collectively make up only about 3 percent of the mass of our atmosphere. LIE – there is only ONE GHG – water vapour – CO2 is trivial and the rest are an order of magnitude less than trivial.

Second, the concentrations of the two most important long-lived greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and methane, have been increasing since the dawn of the industrial era; carbon dioxide alone has increased by about 40 percent. These increases have been brought about by fossil fuel combustion and changes in land use. LIE – “the two most important greenhouse gases are water vapour and water vapour – carbon dioxide is trivial and methane -virtually undetectable, is much less than trivial – a GHG is name only.

Third, in the absence of any feedbacks except for temperature itself, doubling carbon dioxide would increase the global average surface temperature by about 1.8 F. And fourth, global temperatures have been rising for roughly the past century – LIE – global temperatures have risen for roughly the last two centuries, since the end of the last “Little Ice Age” is the early 1800s – there is really no excuse for this from a highly qualified academic – and have so far increased by about 1.4 F. The rate of rise of surface temperature is consistent with predictions of human-caused global warming that date back to the 19th century and is larger than any natural change we have been able to discern for at least the past 1,000 years. LIE – the Medieval Warm period was that warm and the earlier Roman Warm period was warmer – there is NOTHING unusual about recent warming – nothing – perfectly normal natural variation – “is consistant with” is NOT science – science requires a causal link – coincidence just does not cut it…. ”

” …Kerry Emanuel is director of the Program in Atmospheres, Oceans, and Climate at Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Clarification: An earlier version of this op-ed bore the headline “Climate changes are proven fact,” which did not reflect the view of the author.”

and the semi-retired Prof Lindzen calls him “disingenuous” – as in lying – here…

RICHARD LINDZEN
Letter: The sound of alarm by Richard Linzen, The Boston Globe
Saturday, February 20th 2010, 12:49 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/letters/articles/2010/02/19/the_sound_of_alarm/

KERRY EMANUEL’S Feb. 15 op-ed “Climate changes are proven fact’’ is more advocacy than assessment. Vague terms such as “consistent with,’’ “probably,’’ and “potentially’’ hardly change this. Certainly climate change is real; it occurs all the time. To claim that the little we’ve seen is larger than any change we “have been able to discern’’ for a thousand years is disingenuous. Panels of the National Academy of Sciences and Congress have concluded that the methods used to claim this cannot be used for more than 400 years, if at all. Even the head of the deservedly maligned Climatic Research Unit acknowledges that the medieval period may well have been warmer than the present.

The claim that everything other than models represents “mere opinion and speculation’’ is also peculiar. Despite their faults, models show that projections of significant warming depend critically on clouds and water vapor, and the physics of these processes can be observationally tested (the normal scientific approach); at this point, the models seem to be failing.

Finally, given a generation of environmental propaganda, a presidential science adviser (John Holdren) who has promoted alarm since the 1970s, and a government that proposes funding levels for climate research about 20 times the levels in 1991, courage seems hardly the appropriate description – at least for scientists supporting such alarm.

Richard S. Lindzen
Cambridge
The writer is Alfred P. Sloan professor of atmospheric sciences at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

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Superstition On Both Sides Of  AUS Politics.

Friday 01 April, 2011 – 05:34 by Grant in Default

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The Australian Bush has burnt down and grown up again for millions of years – a process accelerated with the arrival of humans 40,000 years ago.

If carbon acumulated in the environment we would see it lying around in vast quantities. We don’t.

 

 

 

 

Scientists question Coalition’s climate change policy
Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Broadcast: 31/03/2011
Reporter: Steve Cannane
http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2011/s3179336.htm

“TONY JONES, PRESENTER: The Federal Coalition’s Climate Change spokesman is under attack from scientists and researchers who claim he’s made a major error in his policy on emissions reductions.

Last week Greg Hunt told Lateline that 150 million tonnes of carbon dioxide per year could be abated through soil carbon sequestration over a land area of just 100 square kilometres…. ”

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That Small Couterie Of Revolutionaries Again.

Friday 01 April, 2011 – 05:28 by Grant in Default

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While the fears of communism in the Macarthy Era were unjustified, there is no doubt in my mind, as someone who has studied it every day for many years now, that there was a small band of leftist revolutionaries behind Global Warming.
If they had succeeded, they would have brought down western civilisation as we know it, or, at least, restructured it in a massive social engineering excercise which would dwarf the Chinese communist revolution.
We live in a prosperous egalitarian society based entirely on cheap abundant fossil fuels. To remove them or severely ration them in the abscence of any proven alternative (except nuclear) is a revolution on a truly titanic scale.
Fortunatley, all they have suceeded in doing is to shift the power and the money from the decadent West to the prosperous emerging New World – an on-going process.

NO FRAKING CONSENSUS
The IPCC Insider’s Club
March 25, 2011
http://nofrakkingconsensus.wordpress.com/2011/03/25/the-ipcc-insiders-club/

” …It received no media attention, of course, but the written version of Pielke’s testimony contains a searing accusation that the public surely has the right to hear about. In his view:

The climate science assessments of the IPCC…are completed by a small subset of climate scientists… [bold added, p. 2]

At that same hearing John Christy, a professor of atmospheric science – who is a climate skeptic – voiced the identical concern. In his words:

The content of [IPCC] reports is actually under the control of a relatively small number of individuals – I often refer to them as the “climate establishment” – who through the years, in my opinion, came to act as gatekeepers of scientific opinion and information… [bold added, p. 17]

Looking at the multiple roles played by Rosenzweig, Karoly, Vaughan, Hegerl, Kovats, Menne, Hare, and Meinshausen it’s clear that Pielke and Christy are not imagining things.”

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Brilliant New Paper

Thursday 31 March, 2011 – 06:06 by Grant in Default

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Dr Sweger uses technical terms of necessity, but his prose is excellent.

Earth’s Climate Engine
Exploring the Dynamics of Earth’s Climate
3/17/2011
National College
Dr. Daniel M. Sweger
http://junksciencearchive.com/Greenhouse/Earth-s_Climate_Engine.pdf

Contents
Figures …………………………………………………………. 2
Tables…………………………………………………………… 2
Introduction ……………………………………………………. 3
Background …………………………………………………… 3
The Constant Irradiance Model …………………….. ……. 4
The Greenhouse Effect ……………………   ……………… 5
The Failures of the Constant Irradiance Models ……….. 8
Another Approach ……………………………………………. 8
Data and Results ……………………………………………. 12
Antarctica …………………………………………………….. 12
Equatorial Regions …………………………………………. 13
The Role of Water Vapor ………………………………….. 21
Conclusion …………………………………………………… 25
About the Author ……………………………………………. 25
Works Cited …………………………………………………. 25

” …This is how the IPCC can use this diagram:
Figure 2: Energy balance from IPCC AR4 FAQ, Figure 1
Here we see the incoming energy as 342 w/m2. However, this approach leads to a problem, and that is that there is not enough energy to account for the average temperature of the earth. Using the Stefan-Boltzmann law to calculate the blackbody temperature for a body absorbing 342 w/m2, the resulting blackbody temperature is 278.7K, or 5.5 °C (42 °F). This is far below the accepted average temperature of about 14 °C.

To make matters worse,… ”

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The Slaughter Of Birds & Bats.

Thursday 31 March, 2011 – 06:03 by Grant in Default

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Bird lovers are environmentalists – BUT – there is nothing environmental about millions (yes millions!) of giant turbines chopping up their little darlings.

CANADA FREE PRESS
Windfarms threaten many bird species with extinction
Mark Duchamp, Save The Eagles Foundation
http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/print-friendly/34953

“Save the Eagles International (STEI) wishes to warn the international community about the threat that windfarms and their power lines represent for biodiversity. Unlike cars, buildings, and domestic cats, wind turbine blades and high tension lines often kill protected or endangered birds like eagles, cranes, storks, etc. Cumulatively and over the long term, 3.5 million wind turbines to be installed worldwide will cause the extinction of many bird species, some of them emblematic… ”

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Nonsettled Science

Thursday 31 March, 2011 – 06:02 by Grant in Default

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No, you wernt imaginin it – it does cause drought AND floods – hot and cold – wet and dry.

Actually what it does cause is mass stupidity.

Actually what it does cause is pure superstition.

It (Climate Change) has a fundamental flaw of course – it only has bad effects – it never has any good effects.

NO TRICKS ZONE
Robust Science! More Than 30 Contradictory Pairs Of Peer-Reviewed Papers
By P Gosselin on 30. März 2011
http://notrickszone.com/2011/03/30/robust-science-more-than-30-contradictory-pairs-of-peer-reviewed-papers/

LIST
Amazon dry season greener – http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GL025583
Amazon dry season browner – http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009GL042154

Avalanches may increase
Avalanches may decrease – wet snow more though [?]

Bird migrations longer
Bird migrations shorter
Bird migrations out of fashion

Boreal forest fires may increase
Boreal forest fires may continue decreasing

Chinese locusts swarm when warmer
Chinese locusts swarm when cooler

Columbia spotted frogs decline
Columbia spotted frogs thrive in warming world

Coral island atolls to sink [?] – http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.04.001
Coral island atolls to rise [? – ?] – http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.05.003

Earth’s rotation to slow down
Earth’s rotation to speed up

East Africa to get less rain
East Africa to get more rain – pdf

Great Lakes less snow
Great Lakes more snow

Gulf stream slows down
Gulf stream speeds up a little

Indian monsoons to be drier
Indian monsoons to be wetter

Indian rice yields to decrease – full paper
Indian rice yields to increase

Latin American forests may decline
Latin American forests have thrived in warmer world with more co2!

Leaf area index reduced [1990s]
Leaf area index increased [1981-2006]

Malaria may increase
Malaria may continue decreasing

Malaria in Burundi to increase
Malaria in Burundi to decrease [?]

North Atlantic cod to decline
North Atlantic cod to thrive

North Atlantic cyclone frequency to increase
North Atlantic cyclone frequency to decrease – full pdf

North Atlantic Ocean less salty
North Atlantic Ocean more salty

Northern Hemisphere ice sheets to decline [? – ? – ?]
Northern Hemisphere ice sheets to grow [?]

Plant methane emissions significant
Plant methane emissions insignificant

Plants move uphill
Plants move downhill [?]

Sahel to get less rain
Sahel to get more rain
Sahel may get more or less rain

San Francisco less foggy
San Francisco more foggy

Sea level rise accelerated
Sea level rise decelerated – full pdf

Soil moisture less
Soil moisture more

Squids get smaller
Squids get larger

Stone age hunters may have triggered past warming [?]
Stone age hunters may have triggered past cooling

Swiss mountain debris flow may increase
Swiss mountain debris flow may decrease
Swiss mountain debris flow may decrease then increase in volume

UK may get more droughts
UK may get more rain

Wind speed to go up [?]
Wind speed slows down [?]
Wind speed to speed up then slow down

Winters maybe warmer [? – ?]
Winters maybe colder ;O)

—END—

go to the article http://notrickszone.com/2011/03/30/robust-science-more-than-30-contradictory-pairs-of-peer-reviewed-papers/  for all the links.

http://www.coxandforkum.com/archives/001066.html

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