Posted by: Grant | May 30, 2013

But, But, Didn’t You Say?


The Melbourne Newsroom
Scientists narrow global warming range
27 May 2013

“Australian scientists have narrowed the predicted range of global warming through groundbreaking new research. Scientists from the University of Melbourne and Victoria University have generated what they say are more reliable projections of global warming estimates at 2100. The paper, led by Dr Roger Bodman from Victoria University with Professors David Karoly and Peter Rayner from the University of Melbourne and published in Nature Climate Change today, found that exceeding 6 degrees warming was now unlikely while exceeding 2 degrees is very likely for business-as-usual emissions… “

That’s a BIG whoopsie from Prof Karoly’s earlier bold predictions –

Six degrees of devastation
December 8, 2012
Adam Morton, Ben Cubby, Tom Arup and Nicky Phillips

” …According to David Karoly, an atmospheric scientist at Melbourne University and a lead author with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, global projections may not give a true picture of how we will experience global warming. “The problem we have is that, even if our best estimate is 4 degrees of warming this century, that is a global average and most of the globe is water,” he says. “Four degrees on average means probably 3 degrees over the oceans, and 5 or 6 degrees on average over the land.”

Must be leaving the punter a little bewildered there, prof? Not to mention the entire ALP Caucus! (Martin Fergusen excepted)


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