Posted by: Grant | January 17, 2015

There Is No John Tucker At NASA.

John Tucker is Compton James Tucker a Senior Earth Scientist at Goddard’s Hydrospheric and Biospheric Sciences Laboratoryhttp://neptune.gsfc.nasa.gov/personnel/index.php?id=311  They were prevailed upon for a headline for the SOTU address and the Indian Visit.

Hard to blame him for the pseudonym – when you are lying to the public for political purposes you cop a lot of abuse back.

He is featured in yet another propaganda release from the self-anointed Climate Council for their superstitious silly season campaign over the hot aussie summer months.
ABC News 24
6am Sat 17th Jan

The above piece was a repackaging of this recent NASA GISS propaganda item – note the GISS Global Temperature Graph in the background.

NASA, NOAA Find 2014 Warmest Year in Modern Record http://www.nasa.gov/press/2015/january/nasa-determines-2014-warmest-year-in-modern-record/index.html

It would be nice to have some balancing comment. JUST ONCE!

NASA GISS exist solely to produce computer models of how human carbon dioxide will cause Global Warming which will supposedly cause disastrously bad weather sometime in the future.
No Global Warming, no GISS.
GISS was headed by the Climate Activist James I’m-being-supressed-by-deniers Hansen.
GISS has been heavily criticized by distinguished NASA former employees who are free to speak out – http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/04/10/hansen-and-schmidt-of-nasa-giss-under-fire-engineers-scientists-astronauts-ask-nasa-administration-to-look-at-emprical-evidence-rather-than-climate-models/

Spot the deliberate mistakes.

“…it attributes the warmer weather to greenhouse gas emissions.”
It is unscientific to attribute recent warm weather in 2014 to “emissions” when we do not know what the weather would have been in 2014 without the GHG “emissions”. Correlation is not causation. The global temperature is always changing in a scientifically unpredictable way. The global temperature of 14.7oC in 2014 was perfectly normal. What would it have been without the human “emissions”?

 “…we have an increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and that is a greenhouse gas because it traps…”
It is A greenhouse gas it is not THE greenhouse gas. The Earth’s greenhouse gas is water vapour. The only way the trivial GHG carbon dioxide can become a concern is by making a very large assumption that it will cause a positive feedback in global water vapour levels. (we never see a positive feedback from water v. after perturbations in global temp. – global temp. is remarkably stable and self-regulating)

“2014 was the Earth’s warmest year on record” and “ten of the warmest years on record have occurred since 1998”
These claims depend what you mean by “on record”. We only started measuring the earth’s temperature in 1980 after a cold spell in the 1970s.

“2014 was the last in a series of warm years in a series of warm decades”
Lies, dammed lies and statistics.
The original press release itself points out –
“The GISS analysis incorporates surface temperature measurements from 6,300 weather stations, ship- and buoy-based observations of sea surface temperatures, and temperature measurements from Antarctic research stations. This raw data is analyzed using an algorithm that takes into account the varied spacing of temperature stations around the globe and urban heating effects that could skew the calculation. The result is an estimate of the global average temperature difference from a baseline period of 1951 to 1980.” –
This is also known as torturing data until it screams.

Argo Floats. The only actual measurement of global temperature comes from the Argo Floats (Earth is 70% ocean) which only started in 2003 and so far show no significant warming or cooling at all – the oceans’ average temperature is 6 degrees Centigrade and the average ocean warming so far is an insignificant three one hundredths of a degree C. per decade – see this article – http://joannenova.com.au/2013/05/ocean-temperatures-is-that-warming-statistically-significant/ – we are a long, long, way away from a Global Warming crisis. (warming the Earth by warming the atmosphere is like trying to warm your bathwater with a hair dryer)

Satellite Data. The above graph shows how global temperature varies from the average. It is made by converting the satellite measurements of the heat radiated from the whole Earth. http://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/
It shows that the global radiated temperature bounced along at a trivial 0.2oC below the average until a strange spike in 1998 altered the average and then it bounced along at a trivial 0.2oC above the average.

To be fair “John Tucker” mearly points out that human fossil fuel burning will have a theoretical effect on global temperatures. He fails to point out that the global temperature always varies and was and still is perfectly normal.

FACT. There is no accurate, whole globe, measured temperature data up to 2003 and the claimed rises are entirely within normal, natural variability, despite a very significant, almost exponential, rise in fossil fuel burning.

POSTSCRIPT – WARNING – There is a Greenie loose in the Channel Nine Brisbane newsroom while the real journos are on hols. The Climate Council got the same short item up on the main news bulletin that night.

PPS – Some more balanced reporting –
MAIL ON SUNDAY
NASA climate scientists We said 2014 was the warmest but we’re only 38% sure
Daily Mail Online
By David Rose for The Mail on Sunday
Published: 11:43 EST, 18 January 2015  | Updated: 02:12 EST, 19 January 2015 http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2915061/Nasa-climate-scientists-said-2014-warmest-year-record-38-sure-right.html

“In a press release on Friday, Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) claimed its analysis of world temperatures showed ‘2014 was the warmest year on record’.
The claim made headlines around the world, but yesterday it emerged that GISS’s analysis – based on readings from more than 3,000 measuring stations worldwide – is subject to a margin of error. Nasa admits this means it is far from certain that 2014 set a record at all.

Yet the Nasa press release failed to mention this, as well as the fact that the alleged ‘record’ amounted to an increase over 2010, the previous ‘warmest year’, of just two-hundredths of a degree – or 0.02C. The margin of error is said by scientists to be approximately 0.1C – several times as much.”

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